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Exit polls suggest BJP is set to reclaim power in Delhi. Photo courtesy: Arvind Kejriwal Official Facebook

AAP rejects Exit Polls' prediction of BJP’s return in Delhi after 27 years

| @indiablooms | Feb 06, 2025, at 12:08 am

New Delhi/IBNS: As Exit Polls predicted a comeback for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) after 27 years following the conclusion of the Delhi Assembly Elections on Wednesday, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has rejected the same.

"This is our fourth election, and every time exit polls did not show AAP forming the government in Delhi. Arvind Kejriwal has worked for the people of Delhi. We will see the results in favour of the Aam Aadmi Party and we will form the government..." AAP leader Sushil Gupta told news agency ANI.

After being reduced to single digits in the last two Delhi Assembly elections, the BJP is poised to make a comeback in the national capital after 27 years, according to most exit polls released on Wednesday.

The projection indicates a significant setback for the Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP, aiming for a third consecutive term following its near-total victories in 2015 and 2020.

A party must win at least 36 seats to secure a majority in the 70-seat Delhi Assembly.

The BJP last held power in December 1998 before the Congress won the elections, leading to Sheila Dikshit's tenure as Delhi chief minister for three consecutive terms.

The Congress, which has struggled in Delhi since the Sheila Dikshit era, is expected to win no more than 1–2 seats, as per the best estimates by pollsters.

However, past elections have demonstrated that exit polls can be unreliable, and the projections should be taken with caution.

An average of four exit polls indicates that the BJP could secure 42 seats, comfortably crossing the halfway mark, while AAP may drop to just 25 seats.

PMarq has forecasted 39–49 seats for the BJP and 21–31 for AAP.

Times Now JVC predicts 39–45 seats for the BJP and 22–31 for AAP.

People's Pulse has given the BJP the highest estimate of 51–60 seats, while forecasting 10–19 for AAP.     

Matrize is the only pollster predicting a close contest, estimating 35–40 seats for the BJP and 32–37 for AAP.

What do exit polls say?

ABP Matrize

AAP — 32-37 seats

BJP — 35-40 seats

Congress — 0-1 seat

Peoples Pulse

BJP: 48.5 percent – 52.5 percent

AAP: 36.5 percent – 40.5 percent

Congress: 6.5 per cent – 8.5 percent

P MARQ

BJP: 39-49 seats

AAP: 21-31 seats

Congress: 0-1 seats

Chanakya’s Strategy

BJP: 39-44

AAP: 25-28

Congress: 2-3

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