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An insight into Cricket match prediction
Cricket

An insight into Cricket match prediction

| @indiablooms | 30 Nov 2020, 01:50 pm

Cricket is a game of uncertainties. One can never predict what type of ball the bawler will deliver, which shot the batsman will offer, where the ball would go, and how many runs will add to the team score. This ‘anything can happen at any time” nature of the game enthrals Punters and gamblers who bet on cricket matches. But if you are a die-hard cricket lover and follow all the game format, you can considerably predict the result and place a rewarding bet on various components of this beautiful game. An unprecedented surge in the online gambling and cricket betting sites is responsible for more and more punters betting on cricket and its markets for the sake of fun and funds.

Cricket betting prediction

Like an astrologer, who predicts your future based on your stars, the prediction of the outcome of a cricket match needs an in-depth study of various “stars,” like the playing teams, the playing eleven, pitch, weather, a form of the players, statistics of the past matches between the teams, and many more. Many online bookmarks claim to give accurate predictions for the benefit of punters, keeping in view all the factors that directly or indirectly affect a cricket match’s outcome. Here is an insight into some of the essential elements which the leading online cricket betting sites consider to predict a cricket match:

• Prediction of the match toss
When there are 50+ markets to bet on, every event counts, and every data is significant. Although the toss of a coin is a chance event, statistics show a link between wining a toss and winning a game. In 1,235 test matches between different cricketing teams from 1977 to date, the home team’s victory is 5.7% more on winning the toss than losing it. Another statistic shows that when the home team wins the toss and sends the opposite team to bat first, it has an edge of 2%. On the other hand, in the 29 matches played in the current IPL 2020, only nine teams have come victorious after winning the toss. Hence, the prediction for a test match and an IPL match contradicts each other. 

• Pitch report and match prediction
One of the most critical information vital for almost accurate cricket match prediction is the pitch report. A pitch can make and break the game for a team. A side that can significantly score on a particular cricket pitch can fail miserably due to variations in pitch type at various locations. In the first inning, the cricket pitch favouring the batsman may suddenly start helping bowlers in the second play. If the team captain is a good pitch analyzer, he can convert toss win into a match win. There are three types of pitch:

• Green pitch:
It is called a Seamer’s bowling pitch. It is a greener pitch with a bit more moisture. It favours the bowlers but may behave unusually in the latter half of the match. After winning a toss on such a pitch, the best decision is to send the opposite team to bat first.

• Hard pitch:
It is hard and bouncy, which helps the ball to fly off. Such a cricket pitch is typical in Australia and is a pacer’s paradise. The cricket pitch at WACA in Perth, Australia, is one of the fastest tracks, and many fast bowlers have given their best bowling performances on it. On the other hand, some world-class batsmen have failed miserably on this pitch. Such pitch helps batsmen in the match’s initial days but is not suitable for effective spin bowling.

• Dry and dusty pitch:
It is a typical Indian pitch, which is for spinners. As the game progresses, it becomes difficult and unpredictable. A score of 250, which seems easily achievable on day one, becomes a mammoth target on the last day of a test match on such a pitch. It also favours slow and slow-medium bowlers along with spinners.

• Team performance:
Every online cricket betting site has experts that keep track of each team in a tournament. The recent form of a team, its past performances against the same rival, the composition of the final playing eleven, in-form players, and team management help experts’ mindset predict a match’s outcome. Although many external factors like weather, pitch, and game format affect team performance, experts can almost accurately predict the result.

• Statistical methods and prediction tools:
Emotions and sentiments can never influence the prediction of an outcome of a cricket match and its related markets. It is a scientific method that takes into account mathematics and statistics to conclude. Computer algorithms are available to assist in this exercise. The data-driven approach and match simulation help in early predictions to help punters decide their bet in advance. Most of the bookmarks have highly advanced and accurate computerized data analysis programs to conclude the match’s fate even before it gets a kick start.

• Accurate weather report
A lot depends upon weather conditions when a cricket match is underway—an accurate weather condition forecast and its analysis are crucial in predicting a cricket match. Many online cricket betting sites give live betting tips and over-to-over prediction based on weather change during monsoon season. Weather prediction goes hand-in-hand with the match result prediction in the case of cricket. 

As a gambler, you would wish to earn maximum from your bet on a cricket match. It needs an accurate prediction of the game and its other markets to plan to put your stakes. Various online cricket betting sites match prediction 24 to 48 hours before the match day. Although cricket is full of uncertainties and unexpected turns and twists, the experts at online platforms for betting are reasonably accurate in their predictions. They can help you to put your bet profitably. The critical aspect here is to select the best online cricket betting site for you. It needs an in-depth study of all the available platforms, their offers, reputation among the fellow punters, and their track record.

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